Thursday, 7 May 2009

Look Toward My Perspective


The roaring of “we told you so”

Everyone has the belief that god has created human to the world to accomplish different missions. With the belief of whenever they have succeeded in following his wills, they will be sent to heaven. Buddhists believe in Buddha’s teaching, while Christians believe in God and Jesus Christ’s words. But of all other religions, there is only one that the God makes believe of his followers not to eat pork – Allah and Muslim.
As it is written in the Qur’an:
“He has only forbidden you dead meat, and blood, and the flesh of swine, and that on which any other name has been invoked besides that of Allah. But if one is forced by necessity, without willful disobedience, nor transgressing due limits - then is he guiltless. For Allah is Oft-Forgiving Most Merciful.” (Baqarah: 173)
This is how the Muslims express themselves in the world since far in the past. Pork is believed to be dirty and disgusting for the Muslims because it is a sin to eat the meat of the swine, which believe to be unclean. No wonder that the Middle East doesn’t have any impact from the currently outbreak disease H1N1 influenza or swine flu.
Taking this scientifically, the swine flu, as same as hog flu, pig flu, bird flu have the same specie of virus – A influenza. This type of virus can be infected to humans. Avian is believe to be the origin of A virus, meanwhile, swine is a good channel of holding the co-infected virus from both avian virus and human flu, and sending it back to human.
Who is to blame? The teachings from the bible makes the Muslims escape the swine flu, as many have noticed. Traveling to Middle East countries might be safer than to the Western side in the mean time. These restrict teachings might have already pricked many Muslims that what they have been believing for centuries is correct and their confidence is very out standing.
It is usual that when a person’s beliefs have been proved correct, it increases the strength of one to continue taking action in what he/she believes by hoping that they can be the winner.
In reality, the environment makes the cycle of the world to have different winners and losers in the various periods of time. In this case, the highest impact on swine flu is arranged in Mexico up to several states in the USA, and further to the European countries. Accordingly, the world economic is facing a severe situation; many countries, especially America is almost knocked out. The World Bank has fallen into pieces, and many US businesses collapsed, making large influence to other countries around the world.

Just like a co-incident, that there are groups of people who seem to succeed and raise more power at the same time that America, who always plays the main character is declining. It is a simple cycle that explains everything. When one has reached the top of the mountain, there’s nowhere higher than that, and he/she has to climb down, for another person to climb up.
Another person I’m mentioning is the Middle East. They have the natural resource that every country needs – oil. A lot of countries in Middle East are developed and have reached the world best level. They have world highest building in Dubai, almost every person drive expensive cars; a lot of millionaires are from there.
Another interesting group of people is the Indians. First of all, they have the highest population in the world. At the present time, they are well succeeded with their Bollywood world. Their high-technology is well accepted by the international standard.
China, the country where anything is possible, has the fame of producing various kinds of drugs to cure diseases.
All these facts imply that America is not the only continent that can overtake everything to be its own property. Perhaps it is now that some innocent dogs have been released to revenge.
The era of violent war has ended as humans have more abilities to figure other solution to fight. No more nuclear equipment, no more bombs, no more cruel deaths. The cold war does not work as well in this century because people think technology can do better than that. There is one more kind of war left to defeat the enemy – biological war. What if the winner starts to spread some kind of virus that no cure has been created? What if the target is already specified? What if the USA is the target?
A lot of evidences prove my hypothesis.
The Muslims are very strict with God’s words. At the same time, when they think they have more power, the attitude changes. They sometimes believe what they are doing is the order from God, no wonder why some Muslims sacrificed themselves to be on the plane when hitting World Trade Center on 9/11; because they believed that was God’s will.
Same as the new virus H1N1, that has the start point of pandemic in Mexico whereas, coincidently, near the boarder of the USA. We never know whether it is God who makes the world this way, or someone has just set up the war.

Tuesday, 5 May 2009

Outbreak in Mexico May Be Smaller Than Feared

Workers at the Naval Hospital in Mexico City wore protective gear Friday in the area where people with possible flu symptoms were checking in.

By DENISE GRADY and LIZ ROBBINS

Published: May 1, 2009

The swine flu outbreak in Mexico may be considerably smaller than originally feared, test results released there on Friday indicate.

Of 908 suspected cases that were tested, only 397 people turned out to have the virus, officially known as influenza A(H1N1), Mexican health officials reported at a news conference. Of those, 16 people have died.

Mexico had reported about 2,500 suspected cases as of Friday, but the number of real cases could turn out to be less than half the suspected number if further testing follows the same pattern as the original round. Officials said that the tests were being done quickly, and that 500 more would be completed Friday.

José Ángel Córdova, Mexico’s health minister, said, “This is a new epidemic, and we can’t predict exactly” what it will do. “We need more days to see how it behaves,” he said.

“Apparently the rate of infection is not as widespread as we might have thought,” he added. The materials needed for the test were provided to Mexico by the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Officials at the centers declined to say what the new numbers might mean.

“We are continuously assessing new information, but it is still too early to draw conclusions about the extent of the spread of this new virus in Mexico or the severity of disease caused by it,” Dr. Nancy Cox, chief of the influenza section, said by e-mail, when asked to comment on the test results.

Dr. Javier Torres, the head of the infectious disease research unit at the Mexican Social Security Institute, Mexico’s main public health care system, said that he had been analyzing the past week’s influenza statistics.

“The number of those exposed and infected has gone up, and the number of fatal cases has gone down,” he said. “We can be comfortable with those facts.”

Officials at the World Health Organization, which has declared that a pandemic is imminent, declined to comment beyond saying that the investigation into the outbreak was continuing.

But a public health and infectious disease expert from Vanderbilt University, Dr. William Schaffner, said the test results were “going to change, I think in a substantial way, the image of this outbreak in Mexico.”

If the outbreak is much smaller than initially thought, Dr. Schaffner said, “It would, I think, enable the world’s public health community to take a deep breath and continue to track the outbreak and reduce the tendency, as the W.H.O. has been doing, to notch up on its pandemic scale.”

If the testing also shows that the disease has caused fewer deaths than the 170 or so suspected, Dr. Schaffner said, it might resolve a question that has been puzzling health experts since the outbreak began: why did the disease appear to be so much more severe in Mexico than in the United States? In the United States, cases have been mild and there has been only one death, that of a 23-month-old child from Mexico. Meanwhile, the disease continued to spread to other countries and was confirmed in more American states on Friday. The disease is expected to drop off during the summer, because flu viruses do not thrive in heat and humidity, but it could rebound in the fall and winter. The World Health Organization said that the flu vaccine given to millions of people for the most recent flu season appeared ineffective against the A(H1N1) strain, but that health officials were talking to manufacturers about creating a new swine-flu vaccine, which would take four to six months to produce.

Dr. Marie-Paule Kieny, director of the Initiative for Vaccine Research at the World Health Organization, said that unless the numbers of cases decreased significantly, “it seems mostly likely that the manufacturers will proceed and we will certainly support them.”

Officials at the Centers for Disease Control said a decision had not yet been made about whether to manufacture a vaccine, but President Obama said that the government would support it.

New cases were reported in Denmark, France, Russia, Hong Kong and South Korea on Friday, but they were not confirmed by the health organization. The United States reported 141 confirmed cases in 19 states, up from 109 cases in 11 states on Thursday.

Concerns about the disease are having an increasing impact. On Friday, a United Airlines flight with 245 passengers heading from Munich to Dulles Airport in Washington landed in Boston instead because a female passenger had flu symptoms and the airline thought she needed prompt attention, a United Airlines spokesman said.

In New York, the school with the nation’s largest cluster of swine flu to date — St. Francis Preparatory School in Fresh Meadows, Queens — was set to reopen Monday after being closed for a week.

Researchers say that some genetic features of the virus may help explain why many cases tend to be mild.

“We do not see the markers for virulence that were seen in the 1918 virus,” said Dr. Cox, of the Centers for Disease Control. “However, we know there is a great deal we don’t understand about the virulence of 1918 or other viruses that have a more severe clinical picture in humans.”

It is too early to know what economic impact, if any, the flu outbreak might have on the United States economy. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the recession will push this year’s national economic output 7.5 percent below its potential level. A true flu pandemic could shave off an additional 1 to 4.25 percent and could have a similar effect on the world’s output, too, some economists say.